The S-CORP Crystal Ball — Tax Writing-Committees in 2011

The Intrade Prediction Markets show Republicans have a 94 percent chance of taking the House today, but only a 42 percent chance of controlling the Senate. If Intrade is correct, what does that mean for the tax-writing committees?

House Ways and Means

Big changes in store here.Democrats maintain a 63 percent majority of the Committee (slightly better than their 59 percent majority in the House) -or 26 Democrats and 15 Republicans. If the House flips, we expect the committee ratios to flip as well, give or take a seat  – that means about 25 Republicans and 15 Democrats.

For Democrats,

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